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Trends summary from FormBet subscriber Carl Grant…
Hail the start of the Flat Season. In running the full trends this is what I came up with form 13
11- MANGE ALL
10 – BARAWEEZ, GABRIAL, GABRIAL’S KAKA, GM HOPKINS, LINCOLN
8- JACKS REVENGE, HILLBILLY BOY
A massive shortlist, if you can call it that, however, the trainer criteria has had an effect on the final scores with a stat of 20 and 10% in the last 10 years.
MANGE ALL is the pick on trends only but was beaten by GM Hopkins lto, therefore, i have a doubt there.
GM HOPKINS has not met the RPR criteria either, another doubt!
The two Gabrial’s have good profiles, with more preference to Gabrials Kaka, who has the marginally better profile of the two.
There is one standout for me on speed, ability and probability. The consistency is hurt by the last run out and I’m taking a chance to forgive him on his last run and is 7lbs better off on the positive profile.
BARAWEEZ the one with the best profile of the field imo and the only horse within the weight and OR to have run faster than class, with a no application of weight from the handicapper.
Thanks Carl !
Below you will also find some key FormBet data for the Lincoln including overall PACE profiles for each runner, none of this pace map/running style nonsense, and also the unique PROBABILITY, ABILITY and CONSISTENCY figures for each horse. It should help narrow down your selection(s).
GREEN is better than RED - simples :-)