Do you sometimes look at a day's racing like today and think, how am I going to analyse all these horses in these races? Do you find that your time is being consumed by too much, so-called ‘form' analysis which yields disappointing results? Do you struggle to decide on what horses you want to bet on?

Specialisation is key but also our ratings can help you shortcut all the traditional form study methods, which are basically a waste of your valuable time. However, there is another quick 4-step solution for all these problems you may face, provided by the Sad Ken method, more of which can be read about here.

At FormBet we actually have automated Sad Ken figures built into our daily ratings sheets for EVERY race to make your life even easier to spot such contenders. However, I'll summarise the steps required below for a couple of the big handicap races today for the ASCOT 3.00 and HAYDOCK 3:15 races.

BETTING MARKET

11 Runners line up here so we allocate 1 point to the Top-6 in the Betfair market currently

MONTDRAGON = 1pt
DEBDEBDEB = 1pt
PULL THE CHORD = 1pt
SIRABAD = 1pt
DIFFERENT GRAVEY = 1pt
SIROP DE MENTHE = 1pt

12 runners line up in the 3.15 at Haydock so again we consider the Top-6 in the Betfair forecast -:

WOODFORD ISLAND = 1pt
BOX OFFICE = 1pt
TAJ BADALANDABAD = 1pt
CHAMPAGNE JAMES = 1pt
TOP BILLING = 1pt
ISAACSTOWN LAD = 1pt

WIN PROBABILITY, ABILITY & CONSISTENCY

Again we are looking for the horse that tops each of these categories, again which are explained in more detail here.

Ascot300

Haydock315

So, in the 3.00 we have -:

ROADIE JOE – 1pt (Prob)
MONTDRAGON – 1pt (Ability)
PULL THE CHORD – 1pt (Consistency)
DEBDEBDEB – 1pt (Consistency)
SIROP DE MENTHE – 1pt (Consistency)

While in the 3.15 it's a bit clearer -:

TAJ BADALANDABAD – 1pt (Prob)
CHAMPAGNE JAMES – 1pt (Ability)
TOP BILLING – 1pt (Consistency)

TOP 4 of the FormBet Ratings

Now, these are not in any particular order by the way but the qualifiers are, in the 3.00 -:

MONTDRAGON = 1pt
DIFFERENT GRAVEY = 1pt
SIROP DE MENTHE = 1pt
ROADIE JOE = 1pt

While in the 3.15, again we have -:

TAJ BADALANDABAD = 1pt
TOP BILLING = 1pt
THE BOSSS DREAM = 1pt
MR MOONSHINE = 1pt

PACE IMPROVERS

Again, this is one of our custom ratings which highlights horses who have a bigger pace improvement figure than their previous run and we look at the Top-4.

In the 3.00 this gives us -:

DIFFERENT GRAVEY = 1pt
MONTDRAGON = 1pt
ROADIE JOE = 1pt
SIROP DE MENTHE = 1pt

While in the 3.15 at Haydock we have -:

WOODFORD ISLAND = 1pt
TRADEWINDS = 1pt
HORIZONTAL SPEED = 1pt
CHAMPAGNE JAMES = 1pt

SUMMARY

Let's start with the Ascot 3.00 race, the final Sad Ken ratings taking all the above into account are as follows -:

MONTDRAGON = 4pts
SIROP DE MENTHE = 4pts
DIFFERENT GRAVEY = 3pts
ROADIE JOE = 3pts
DEBDEBDEB = 2pts
PULL THE CHORD = 2pts

The 3.15 looks like this -:

TAJ BADALANDABAD = 3pts
CHAMPAGNE JAMES = 3pts
TOP BILLING = 3pts
WOODFORD ISLAND = 2pts

Now in the Sad Ken booklets he advises that you can back all these each-way but of course I prefer to be a bit more selective. I've had a lot of success from this approach, especially when combining it with other value-based techniques but as you can see it's a very good shortlisting technique to cut the fields in half and if you focus on those with the highest ratings you have 2 and 3 potential selections in each race.

In the 3.00 for example MONTDRAGON is 9/2 but SIROP DE MENTHE is a very decent looking 12/1 and looks the obvious value play, so you could perhaps have a win on the former and an each-way on the latter, although generally I usually prefer win only for my bets.

The 3.15 is a bit trappier, with the TAJ BADALANDABAD 6/1, CHAMPAGNE JAMES 7/1 and TOP BILLING 8/1 so you could go split stakes on all 3 win only or back the first two win only and back Top Billing each way – really the choice is yours – I'm just outlining the method but it will pay dividends in the long run using this technique.

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