Using the trends elimination method, we arrive at a Trends selection after just 4 strong trends.

15/16 – Had won a Group 1 race before
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower

The selection is best-priced 33/1 shot TALISMANIC. Last year’s Breeders Cup turf winner looks overpriced for Andre Fabre with Mickael Barcelona taking the ride and is well worth an each-way bet. He prepped for this with an easy win in the Prix Gontaut and a 2nd in the Prix Foy, a race Fabre has used as a prep with previous Arc winners Carnegie, Hurricane Run. Of course he also had the impressive winner that day Waldgeist, who looks a more likely winner, but we need to be consistent when following a trends based approach and we know the runner-up has Group 1 class on the day.

Sunday System Bets

Uttoxeter 4:35 Dr Wells (System10) 66/1
Uttoxeter 5:05 Ballydarsi (System6) 20/1