One of the biggest failings punters make, is not looking back and reviewing races, meetings etc to see how the winners ‘could' have been found. Something I will be doing through the flat season will be looking back on a few of the big races each weekend and seeing how the winners could potentially have been found using GeeGeez Gold. This kind of review can help with future race analysis and give strong pointers to future winners or at least alternative approaches to consider. I thought i would do this for the recent Aintree festival, picking out a few key stats and figures from some races.
POST-RACE ANALYSIS PROCESS
My approach for post-analysis of a race, is in 5 key stages but there are of course other factors to consider, including recent form etc
1) PACE/DRAW analysis
2) INSTANT EXPERT HORSE conditions, sorted by PLACE, ALL data
3) INSTANT EXPERT TRAINER conditions, sorted by WIN, 2-Year data
4) MAIN RACECARD TRAINER/JOCKEY course form and KEY REPORT STATS
5) SPEED, RPR, TS and OR figures
Now, PACE analysis for me is overplayed in horse racing, simply because past pace figures for a runner cannot ever be guaranteed, as each race is a unique and different make-up each time, but they can provide some ‘guidance' at best. They are perhaps more useful on the flat, particularly when including the draw and in sprint races.
Having said that, the GeeGeez Gold PACE figures are the best online, they not only are well calculated, but they give a positive indication of historical pace runners and a visual representation.
After looking at PACE, I move onto the amazing INSTANT EXPERT tab, I always select PLACE stats for the HORSE, over it's whole career, to give a bigger sample size of a horse's ability to act on going, distance, class, course etc. I go through each category, sorting my PLACE as percentage figures with small samples are misleading and I prefer to see more detailed figures.
I then select the TRAINER data and select 2-Year WIN form to give an idea of a trainer's record under today's conditions. Occasionally, I will select the SIRE data, but more-so in maiden races on the flat than over the jumps, where there is less ‘form' to go on.
I move on next to the main racecard and look for any jockeys and trainers in form over the last 14/30 days, at the course, and any key reporting stats. These are all really easy to identify on the GeeGeez racecards at a glance
Finally, I sort runners by Official Rating (OR) and also we now have the ability to sort by Racing Post Rating (RPR) and Topspeed (TS). Now, these figures are not something to blindly follow but they can highlight strong contenders in races.
So, lets get on with looking at a few races to see how the post-race analysis is done.