A ‘Betting Exchange Profits’ Special – 2 New Tipsters Reviewed In BIG New SBC Magazine

A ‘Betting Exchange Profits’ Special – 2 New Tipsters Reviewed In BIG New SBC Magazine

The latest SBC Magazine (Issue 110) is out now and it's a Betting Exchange Profits special featuring reviews of 2 ‘Exchange Friendly' tipster services.

Whether it be the football laying expert making a fine profit in major European leagues or the long-term successful Betfair SP racing tipster – there is something for everyone to enjoy in this latest expert magazine!

Added to the mix, you can also explore our review of the in-play football tipster with a 10% ROI, which best of all it costs just £2 a month to follow. An absolute bargain!

There is also a special feature on the new £500 Minimum Bet Guarantees offered by several bookmakers, the value they provide and who they are suitable for.

All told its a bumper edition and a must-read if you are looking for sustainable, exchange friendly tipsters to follow. SBC Issue 110 is available now with a Smart Betting Club membership.

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This includes access to every single tipster review we have ever written (there are literally hundreds available) and all of the Hall of Fame Tipsters we recommend to make you money betting.

Check out some of our latest publications.

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Why SBC Reviews Are Different

Smart Betting Club tipster reviews are renowned for being some of the most detailed you can find – here is why you should trust us to help you find the right tipsters for you:

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Using GeeGeez Gold Instant Expert to find winners

Using GeeGeez Gold Instant Expert to find winners

I wrote in a recent blog post about the important of post-race analysis, using GeeGeez Gold to develop a strategy to find winners. There have been some decent selections the last few days using GeeGeez Gold Instant Expert and other data like sire and trainer stats to find decent winners.

ToBeFair was one such winner, who was strong across all Instant Expert categories and won at 15/2 at Cheltenham, having come off the back of a decent 2nd in the Pertemps at the festival, easily the best form on offer in the race. I was surprised he went off such a decent price – a few thought the race came too quickly, some preferred more ‘fashionable' yards – but form and stats are everything in this game.

As we can see from the above Instant Expert snapshot on PLACE stats, ToBeFair was proven on the going, course and had the most amount of places in this class and over this distance, so was a very strong selection.

Earlier in the day, I put up a couple of selections for free on Twitter, in a maiden race at Newmarket, CLERISY (winner at 8/1) and GENTLEWOMAN e/w (2nd at 16/1) and again you can see the strength of the Sire Data available on GeeGeez Gold cards, flagging both as being well-bred and strong stats contender in the conditions of today's race, as well as representing in-form trainers and jockeys with solid records at the course. It also highlighted the importance of taking Best Odds Guaranteed as the winner drifted and the 2nd was well-supported, Gentlewoman is definitely one to watch after that seriously promising debut and can be a ‘tracker' horse. Another feature of GeeGeez Gold.

 

If you are not using GeeGeez Gold, you are missing out, it will revolutionise your betting and the data works equally well in less competitive and classier contests as it helps separate the wheat from the chaff and to narrow down selections to a workable shortlist. It's also far better value and feature-rich than the ridiculously priced alternative options like Raceform, Timeform and Proform and offers far more than a subscription to the Racing Post.

Signup using the banner below to get on board and try it for just £1 a month.

MOHAATHER found using GeeGeez Gold

MOHAATHER found using GeeGeez Gold

Saturday's Greenham Stakes looked a wide-open affair. The FormBet Tipster Service will be focusing on Group races and big handicaps through the season and, for subscribers, MOHAATHER was provided as a strong 2pt win bet for the race based on strength of GeeGeez Instant Expert and Angles. First of all using Instant Expert on GeeGeez Gold (above), as described in an earlier post, the selection was strong across all categories, going, class, distance, course and field size. The key though was that the trainer had a 41% win strike-rate and 61% place strike-rate with last-time out winners (see below) and the selection had won a key trial over C&D last backend in the Horris Hill Stakes. You can customise these stats categories to your liking to flag interesting runners each day.   This race highlighted the power of GeeGeez Gold when looking for strong stats selections in race and you can grab a 1-month trial for £1 here.

 

MLB Wednesday 10th April

MLB Wednesday 10th April

Well last night was a real blowout, especially so for Jacob De Grom who flopped badly. Minnesota have a WRC+ of 125 which means they create 25% more runs on average than other teams in the league. Still developing my model, which should be ready in a few weeks but perhaps highlights the need for value and why I am swerving Mets pitcher Noah Syndergaard tonight, who is the 2nd-highest priced option on the slate. Of course, any pitcher can have a bad night, and it may be an over-reaction but I am erring on the side of caution. TAMBA BAY RAYS -147 have the excellent TYLER GLASNOW pitching for them and they have a 0.76 runs advantage over the White Sox, who really only have the elite batter YOAN MACADA and perhaps TIM ANDERSON in their lineup to worry Glasnow. However, Tampa Bay have been consistently hitting across the board and can land the win here. Ground-ball pitcher BRANDON WOODRUFF for MILWAUKEE BREWERS -125 can also have a good game against the Angels, with Trout doubtful after leaving the game with a groin strain last night. They have a run advantage of 0.42 with the likes of YELICH, GRANDAL and co. to give them an edge. JACK FLAHERTY pitches for the ST LOUIS CARDINALS -107 at home to the Dodgers. He has a 28.6% K% rate at home which jumps to over 31% against right-handed pitchers so I'll take him for the win tonight with notable hitters like PAUL GOLDSCHIMDT and PAUL DEJONG likely to rack up runs. For the final leg I'm going to look to HOUSTON ASTROS -113 against the Yankees with COLLIN McHUGH a marginal favourite here. He, along with Woodruff would be by choices for Starting Pitcher 2 with Glasnow. The accumulator pays 8.82 with Skybet and again I would throw in 3 trebles.

I expect to have a model ready in the next few weeks and will publish pitcher and batter ratings along with video previews through the season.

MLB Tuesday 9th April

MLB Tuesday 9th April

NEW YORK METS are -220 favourites and rightly so with the elite JACOB DE GROM pitching. He has started the year with 13 shutout innings and 24 strike-outs and is the best pitcher by far on the slate tonight. The Minnesota Twins lineup strike-out a lot and so the NYM can justify strong favouritism here with backup from hitters like BRANDON NIMMO and MICHAEL CONFORTO. SAN DIEGO PADRES -110 face little opposition from a poor San Francisco lineup here. JOEY LUCCHESI is the pitcher for the Padres and a good alternative for those wishing to save a bit of cash on De Grom in Fantasy contests.  The Padres have hitters like TATIS JR, MANNY MACHADO, WIL MYERS and HUNTER RENFROE who are all capable of taking advantage of Derek Holland.  AARON NOLA pitches for PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -133 tonight against Washington Nationals. BRYCE HARPER and RHYS HOSKINS are hitting well at the moment and have back up from th elikes of ANDREW MCCUTCHEN and JT REALMUTO. Rendon and Turner are the batters for the Nationals who could give him something to think about but he does well against right-handed hitters with a 26% K% rate. HOUSTON ASTROS -175 are favourites with the consistent GERRIT COLE taking the mound against a New York Yankees team who may not field their strongest lineup. The Astros have strength in their lineup with BREGMAN, BRANTLEY and SPRINGER of interest while ALTUVE can also swing a mean bat. ATLANTA BRAVES are 123 underdogs against Colorado at Coors Field but I fancy them to win this with ground-ball pitcher MAX FRIED on the plate who can get a number of strike-outs, especially against a team that strike-out a lot. There is a high runs total in this game but I fancy the bulk of them to come from Atlanta so we get a value option for a 5th leg here.   The accumulator pays 12.49 with Coral, worth throwing in 5 x 4-folds as well in case one team lets us down.  In the next few weeks I will be posting ratings/model projections and a regular Fantasy column/video and start tracking the points based results for all games.  

 

Post-Race Analysis using GeeGeez Gold in 5 Simple Steps

Post-Race Analysis using GeeGeez Gold in 5 Simple Steps

One of the biggest failings punters make, is not looking back and reviewing races, meetings etc to see how the winners ‘could' have been found. Something I will be doing through the flat season will be looking back on a few of the big races each weekend and seeing how the winners could potentially have been found using GeeGeez Gold. This kind of review can help with future race analysis and give strong pointers to future winners or at least alternative approaches to consider. I thought i would do this for the recent Aintree festival, picking out a few key stats and figures from some races. POST-RACE ANALYSIS PROCESS My approach for post-analysis of a race, is in 5 key stages but there are of course other factors to consider, including recent form etc 1) PACE/DRAW analysis 2) INSTANT EXPERT HORSE conditions, sorted by PLACE, ALL data 3) INSTANT EXPERT TRAINER conditions, sorted by WIN, 2-Year data 4) MAIN RACECARD TRAINER/JOCKEY course form and KEY REPORT STATS 5) SPEED, RPR, TS and OR figures Now, PACE analysis for me is overplayed in horse racing, simply because past pace figures for a runner cannot ever be guaranteed, as each race is a unique and different make-up each time, but they can provide some ‘guidance' at best. They are perhaps more useful on the flat, particularly when including the draw and in sprint races. Having said that, the GeeGeez Gold PACE figures are the best online, they not only are well calculated, but they give a positive indication of historical pace runners and a visual representation. After looking at PACE, I move onto the amazing INSTANT EXPERT tab, I always select PLACE stats for the HORSE, over it's whole career, to give a bigger sample size of a horse's ability to act on going, distance, class, course etc. I go through each category, sorting my PLACE as percentage figures with small samples are misleading and I prefer to see more detailed figures. I then select the TRAINER data and select 2-Year WIN form to give an idea of a trainer's record under today's conditions. Occasionally, I will select the SIRE data, but more-so in maiden races on the flat than over the jumps, where there is less ‘form' to go on. I move on next to the main racecard and look for any jockeys and trainers in form over the last 14/30 days, at the course, and any key reporting stats. These are all really easy to identify on the GeeGeez racecards at a glance Finally, I sort runners by Official Rating (OR) and also we now have the ability to sort by Racing Post Rating (RPR) and Topspeed (TS). Now, these figures are not something to blindly follow but they can highlight strong contenders in races. So, lets get on with looking at a few races to see how the post-race analysis is done.

The first race I want to take a look at is the Juvenile Hurdle won narrowly by PENTLAND HILLS at 11/4 from FAKIR D'OUDARIES. Starting with PACE analysis, we can see that prominent racers have been historically profitable in this race in the past with a 1.27 Impact Value producing 7 winners from 24 runners. In this instance, we can see that there are 5 horses that fall in between the prominent/mid-div category but these include the eventual 1st, 2nd and 5th. We can also look at Peter May's speed ratings to see where the early pace may come from, in this case it was very accurate for the front-running Fakir D'Oudaries. The pace stats were a negative for favourite Band Of Outlaws who was mid-div/hold-up, ran that way and never got a blow in – so we can also use PACE stats to look for negatives about potential false favourites.   Next up we have the INSTANT EXPERT ANALYSIS for Horse and Trainer…first of all HORSE, sorted by Place stats. First key point to note is the number of places, PENTLAND HILLS was 3/6 on today's going, he was also 1/1 in the class, 1/1 at the distance and 4/6 in field size. Overall, those were the strongest combination of total place stats in the race, in terms of raw numbers, with perhaps Adjali the next strongest, who outran his odds when running into 4th. This alone shows the power of the Instant Expert feature.   Now, moving onto the TRAINER WIN Instant Expert stats. We can see straight away that Henderson and Nicholls runners stand out on the going, class, course, distance and field. Winner Pentland Hills, and 4th Adjali, were trained by Henderson with the eventual 3rd Christopher Wood from the Nicholls yard. In this instance I also take a look at the overall percentages because sometimes the more established trainers will always show up top of these total figures and we can ignore the smaller or up-and-coming trainers In this case,  Henderson still tops out in all the categories in percentage terms though. So overall Instant Expert clearly pointing towards Pentland Hills.   Let's move onto the last couple of points of analysis – trainer/jockey course and recent form and OR/RPR and TS figures. Well, we can see that Henderson has excellent course form over the last year and 5-year period, while Daryl Jacob is not in great form in the last few weeks but does ride the course well, in general. However, apart from the odd positive stat for some runners, it's clear that PENTLAND HILLS trainer and jockey stats for the course and in the last 30-days for Nico De Boinville are standout. The final piece of the puzzle, is that the winner was top of the Official Ratings, RPR and Topspeed figures so was a standout ratings-wise and a solid wager at 11/4. The Foxhunters was a real-ratings race because there were no strong pace pointers for the race. The winner TOP WOOD was 5th best on official ratings and RPR figures but 2nd best on Topspeed and on Peter May's speed figures so was easy to pick out from an overall ratings perspective. On Instant Expert he also had the highest number of places on the going and a 14/1 winner could have been easily found. In the Aintree Hurdle I actually advised a win bet on SUPASUNDAE at 10/1 to subscribers to the FormBet Tipster Service, via WhatsApp – he was clear 3rd best on OR, RPR and TS ratings figures but it was on Instant Expert where the key hints were. He had the clear 2nd-highest places on the going, after the odds-on favourite, the 2nd-highest places in this class of race, joint-highest placings at the course, highest number of placings at the distance and 3rd in Field size. He was a clear standout on Instant Expert and with strong-ratings to back him up, was the obvious value in the race.

 

The Friday got off to a cracking start for INSTANT EXPERT. Sometimes it's as simple as adding up all the place points for a big-field race of this nature. Doing so would have given you 2 top contenders in THREE MUSKATEERS (11pts) and STERNRUBIN (11pts). They finished 1st and 4th at 8/1 and 16/1 respectively. The trainer stats also pointed towards two trainers in Nicky Henderson (unplaced) and Gordon Elliott (winner at 8/1) giving further strength behind the selection.    

These are just a few examples of winners that could have been found last week using GeeGeez Gold. I also tipped up a strong contender in Lost In Translation at 3/1 while other strong stats winners that could have been discovered using the above methods were CHAMP 9/4, AUX PTITS SOIN 11/1, ORNUA 3/1, TIGER ROLL 4/1, CHIEF JUSTICE 13/2 and a few other decent placers.

If you are not using a tool like GeeGeez Gold to analyse races and find winners then you are at a serious disadvantage to an educated crowd of punters and race analysts. You can check out GeeGeez Gold for 1-month for just £1 here or at the banner below.