Finding More Winners Using GeeGeez Gold

Finding More Winners Using GeeGeez Gold

If you are not using GeeGeez Gold for your horse racing analysis, you are seriously missing out. Other packages like Proform will cost you over £1200 a year – yes, a year(!), compared to the equally feature-rich and far more user-friendly GeeGeez Gold at £297 a year, with the first month trial only £1. That will save you close to £1000 a year, enough for a decent betting bank.

You can build systems and customise your own ratings as you please, GeeGeez also included Racing Post RPR and Topspeed figures alongside Peter May's Speed figures. Matt at GeeGeez is constantly adding new functionality and records detailed and informative videos detailing how to get the best out of the software.

Yesterday at York, you could have found 2 well-backed winners with FIRST ELEVEN (available at 11/2 early on) and SPACE BLUES (available at 7/1 the previous evening) simply by looking at the breeding (they both had the best sire stats in their respective races) and the trainer/jockey form recently, at the course and the Trainer/Jockey Combo figures (screenshots below). As well as a few other pointers like First Eleven dropping in class (down arrow) and Charlie Appleby's record with first-time handicappers, evidenced by the HC pointer.

I prefer to compare all the stats of all runners in a race, but for those looking for a quick selection – these highlighted positives are a real time-saver, and money saver – along with the Instant Expert, PACE and DRAW data. You can perform as much, or as little analysis, as you like – depending on how much time you have available to you.

They also have a full formbook, horse tracker, customised reporting, odds comparison and a £100 free tipping league for subscribers.

So, there is no point signing up to inferior, or the more expensive, flashy services. Save yourself some time, money and take out a 1-month trial to GeeGeez Gold today for just £1, it will transform your betting and help to grow your betting bankroll.

 

Post-Race Analysis using GeeGeez Gold in 5 Simple Steps

Post-Race Analysis using GeeGeez Gold in 5 Simple Steps

One of the biggest failings punters make, is not looking back and reviewing races, meetings etc to see how the winners ‘could' have been found. Something I will be doing through the flat season will be looking back on a few of the big races each weekend and seeing how the winners could potentially have been found using GeeGeez Gold. This kind of review can help with future race analysis and give strong pointers to future winners or at least alternative approaches to consider. I thought i would do this for the recent Aintree festival, picking out a few key stats and figures from some races.

POST-RACE ANALYSIS PROCESS

My approach for post-analysis of a race, is in 5 key stages but there are of course other factors to consider, including recent form etc

1) PACE/DRAW analysis

2) INSTANT EXPERT HORSE conditions, sorted by PLACE, ALL data

3) INSTANT EXPERT TRAINER conditions, sorted by WIN, 2-Year data

4) MAIN RACECARD TRAINER/JOCKEY course form and KEY REPORT STATS

5) SPEED, RPR, TS and OR figures

Now, PACE analysis for me is overplayed in horse racing, simply because past pace figures for a runner cannot ever be guaranteed, as each race is a unique and different make-up each time, but they can provide some ‘guidance' at best. They are perhaps more useful on the flat, particularly when including the draw and in sprint races.

Having said that, the GeeGeez Gold PACE figures are the best online, they not only are well calculated, but they give a positive indication of historical pace runners and a visual representation.

After looking at PACE, I move onto the amazing INSTANT EXPERT tab, I always select PLACE stats for the HORSE, over it's whole career, to give a bigger sample size of a horse's ability to act on going, distance, class, course etc. I go through each category, sorting my PLACE as percentage figures with small samples are misleading and I prefer to see more detailed figures.

I then select the TRAINER data and select 2-Year WIN form to give an idea of a trainer's record under today's conditions. Occasionally, I will select the SIRE data, but more-so in maiden races on the flat than over the jumps, where there is less ‘form' to go on.

I move on next to the main racecard and look for any jockeys and trainers in form over the last 14/30 days, at the course, and any key reporting stats. These are all really easy to identify on the GeeGeez racecards at a glance

Finally, I sort runners by Official Rating (OR) and also we now have the ability to sort by Racing Post Rating (RPR) and Topspeed (TS). Now, these figures are not something to blindly follow but they can highlight strong contenders in races.

So, lets get on with looking at a few races to see how the post-race analysis is done.

The first race I want to take a look at is the Juvenile Hurdle won narrowly by PENTLAND HILLS at 11/4 from FAKIR D'OUDARIES.

Starting with PACE analysis, we can see that prominent racers have been historically profitable in this race in the past with a 1.27 Impact Value producing 7 winners from 24 runners. In this instance, we can see that there are 5 horses that fall in between the prominent/mid-div category but these include the eventual 1st, 2nd and 5th. We can also look at Peter May's speed ratings to see where the early pace may come from, in this case it was very accurate for the front-running Fakir D'Oudaries. The pace stats were a negative for favourite Band Of Outlaws who was mid-div/hold-up, ran that way and never got a blow in – so we can also use PACE stats to look for negatives about potential false favourites.

 

Next up we have the INSTANT EXPERT ANALYSIS for Horse and Trainer…first of all HORSE, sorted by Place stats.

First key point to note is the number of places, PENTLAND HILLS was 3/6 on today's going, he was also 1/1 in the class, 1/1 at the distance and 4/6 in field size. Overall, those were the strongest combination of total place stats in the race, in terms of raw numbers, with perhaps Adjali the next strongest, who outran his odds when running into 4th. This alone shows the power of the Instant Expert feature.

 

Now, moving onto the TRAINER WIN Instant Expert stats.

We can see straight away that Henderson and Nicholls runners stand out on the going, class, course, distance and field. Winner Pentland Hills, and 4th Adjali, were trained by Henderson with the eventual 3rd Christopher Wood from the Nicholls yard. In this instance I also take a look at the overall percentages because sometimes the more established trainers will always show up top of these total figures and we can ignore the smaller or up-and-coming trainers In this case,  Henderson still tops out in all the categories in percentage terms though. So overall Instant Expert clearly pointing towards Pentland Hills.

 

Let's move onto the last couple of points of analysis – trainer/jockey course and recent form and OR/RPR and TS figures.

Well, we can see that Henderson has excellent course form over the last year and 5-year period, while Daryl Jacob is not in great form in the last few weeks but does ride the course well, in general. However, apart from the odd positive stat for some runners, it's clear that PENTLAND HILLS trainer and jockey stats for the course and in the last 30-days for Nico De Boinville are standout.

The final piece of the puzzle, is that the winner was top of the Official Ratings, RPR and Topspeed figures so was a standout ratings-wise and a solid wager at 11/4.

The Foxhunters was a real-ratings race because there were no strong pace pointers for the race. The winner TOP WOOD was 5th best on official ratings and RPR figures but 2nd best on Topspeed and on Peter May's speed figures so was easy to pick out from an overall ratings perspective. On Instant Expert he also had the highest number of places on the going and a 14/1 winner could have been easily found.

In the Aintree Hurdle I actually advised a win bet on SUPASUNDAE at 10/1 to subscribers to the FormBet Tipster Service, via WhatsApp – he was clear 3rd best on OR, RPR and TS ratings figures but it was on Instant Expert where the key hints were. He had the clear 2nd-highest places on the going, after the odds-on favourite, the 2nd-highest places in this class of race, joint-highest placings at the course, highest number of placings at the distance and 3rd in Field size. He was a clear standout on Instant Expert and with strong-ratings to back him up, was the obvious value in the race.

 

The Friday got off to a cracking start for INSTANT EXPERT. Sometimes it's as simple as adding up all the place points for a big-field race of this nature. Doing so would have given you 2 top contenders in THREE MUSKATEERS (11pts) and STERNRUBIN (11pts). They finished 1st and 4th at 8/1 and 16/1 respectively. The trainer stats also pointed towards two trainers in Nicky Henderson (unplaced) and Gordon Elliott (winner at 8/1) giving further strength behind the selection.

 

 

These are just a few examples of winners that could have been found last week using GeeGeez Gold. I also tipped up a strong contender in Lost In Translation at 3/1 while other strong stats winners that could have been discovered using the above methods were CHAMP 9/4, AUX PTITS SOIN 11/1, ORNUA 3/1, TIGER ROLL 4/1, CHIEF JUSTICE 13/2 and a few other decent placers.

If you are not using a tool like GeeGeez Gold to analyse races and find winners then you are at a serious disadvantage to an educated crowd of punters and race analysts. You can check out GeeGeez Gold for 1-month for just £1 here or at the banner below.

Value PACE angle bets at Kempton tonight

Value PACE angle bets at Kempton tonight

While I have been in Spain the last 3 weeks I have built a number of potentially very profitable jumps and All-Weather systems using GeeGeez Gold Query Tool, which is a fantastic piece of kit. More of that later.

However, I’ve also had a lot of success using the PACE and the DRAW tabs as outlined and explained by Matt Bisogno from GeeGeez in a recent, excellent video for those who signed up to download Trainer Track Stats. This will also be a huge part of my betting armoury this forthcoming jumps season so be sure to grab your free copy.

For those who haven’t had the good fortune to watch that particular video, I’ve recorded a very quick one of my own with a few races at Kempton in mind tonight. The first is at 8:45 where there is a very strong PACE/DRAW value each-way bet to be had, with GLAMOROUS DREAM at a best priced 20/1.

You can watch my brief video here explaining why I fancy Glamorous Dream to outrun her very big odds and witness the power of the PACE and DRAW info on GeeGeez racecards.

There is also a strong qualifying front-runner in the 9:15 DREAM CATCHING who has an advantageous draw in stall 12, so is well worth an each-way bet at 12/1. High drawn front runners have a 50% strike-rate, 4.25 A/E and a level stakes profit of +31pts.

SHEPHERDS PURSE may contest that lead though and at 14/1 is also worthy of a cover bet for the precise same reasons, despite not having as favourable a draw. Again, overall 6f front runners have a massive 28% strike rate, 3.11 impact value and +61pts profit so he could give Dream Catching most to do if overcoming that slightly negative mid-berth over this trip.

 

Spring Mile and Lincoln Picks

Spring Mile and Lincoln Picks

First day of the flat season, which is my preferred code to make profits in. I always loved to try to get my head around the Spring Mile and Lincoln Handicaps on Day 1 and today is no different. Using GeeGeez Gold I have been able to analyse the draw and pace charts in an instant and it's really interesting to note that on ground that is good to soft or softer that those that are held-up from a high draw have 3 wins and twice as many places as any other combination in these big-field mile races.

2:25 Spring Mile 1pt e/w 25/1 EXECUTIVE FORCE is ridden by Jamie Spencer so chances are he will be held up and delivered late from his high draw, also worth noting he has the highest speed figure on the GeeGeez cards. Over the last 5 years Spencer has a 20% Win S/R and 44% place S/R, showing a +34pts profit. At 25/1 I'm prepared to take an each way punt. Original Choice looks the danger and could be worth a small win cover.

3:35 Lincoln 1pt e/w 16/1 DONNCHA was beaten a neck of this mark in the Spring Mile 2 years ago on soft going and last year was 3rd in this race, beaten two necks off a 3lb higher mark on good to soft going. He has also lucked out in that he is a hold-up runner drawn high and with Andrea Atzeni doing the steering, he has a solid each-way shout. He has an even better record than Spencer at the course over the last 5 years. Fire Brigade looks the main danger under Ryan Moore and again may be worth a cover bet.

You can also view a free Trainer/Jockey Combo report every Saturday via GeeGeez

Midlands National 2018

Midlands National 2018

Using an elimination trends method there is one horse that stands out in terms of value for the Midlands National on Saturday. This method involves starting with strong trends and working your way down until you have eliminated all the runners that don't meet the strongest trends. The ones I looked at for this race are as follows -:

14/14 – Aged 9 or younger
13/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
11/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
10/14 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/14 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
10/14 – Officially rated 133 or less
10/14 – Unplaced favourites

That gives us a strong trends selection in 40/1 shot THEMANFROM MINELLA which is worth an each-way wager. He looks a hit or miss horse with 2 wins and a 2nd but 3 PU's from his last 6 outings, however at the prices and with him having guaranteed winning form on heavy going, I'm prepared to take a chance at the prices.

The GeeGeez Pace angles for this race suggest that Mid-Division is where you want to be and looking at the recent trainer stats and jockey stats, I must admit to liking the chances of 25/1 shot PLUS JAMALS. The trainer has a 23% Win Strike-Rate over the last month with 45% of his runners hitting the frame. The 3lb claimer Ross Chapman has a 33% strike-rate and 48% place record with his rides. Throw in the 33% Win S/R of the sire Caballo Raptor with a 67% place record and we have ourselves a solid trainer/jockey/sire stat contender at a price.

All these stats and filters can be found on GeeGeez Gold.

 

Cheltenham Preview 2018 – Friday

Cheltenham Preview 2018 – Friday

Time and other work have really conspired against me this week. Cheltenham analysis is a full-time job and you need a lot of luck and time to do it justice. Thankfully, the flat season is just a few weeks away and is much more reliable and profitable for me over the years, can't wait to use the power of GeeGeez Gold to unlock some value bets in the big races for the 2018 flat season. However, there is still one day left of the festival, so let's see what we can find in < 10 mins!

1:30 TRIUMPH HURDLE – MR ADJUDICATOR 1pt e/w @ 8/1

2:10 COUNTY HURDLE – MOON RACER 1pt e/w @ 22/1

2:50 ALBERT BARTLETT – ENNISCOFFEY OSCAR 1pt e/w @ 22/1

3:30 GOLD CUP – DEFINITLY RED 1pt win @ 12/1, TOTAL RECALL 1pt e/w @ 22/1

4:10 FOXHUNTERS – ON THE FRINGE 1pt e/w @ 16/1

4:50 MARTIN PIPE – BRILLARE MOMENTO 1pt e/w @ 33/1 & BRAVE EAGLE 1pt e/w @ 40/1

5:30 GRAND ANNUAL – GARDE LA VICTOIRE 1pt e/w @ 25/1