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12:16 am
6 August 2009
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seanstar
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I have had a brainwave for a system tonight!
4 picks today….
310 Haydock Rio Cobollo 5.3
330 Brighton Fleeting Star 2.04
430 Brighton Landucci 6.4
440 Haydock Red Skipper 5.9
Proabably will all be close if not favs, not normally my way of thinking…will give the theory a week to see what kind of profit is made if any!
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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12:24 am
6 August 2009
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marcus
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| FB Bronze Member | posts 164 | |
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good luck on this i like systems and try to annalyse them the best i can without sounding cheeky how did you come up with them selections in other words mate how does your system work
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12:13 am
7 August 2009
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seanstar
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Todays picks were all put into a each way 4 fold, so near with Landucci missing out…
So for tomorrows picks, again I will place them all together in a each way 4 fold. They should be favs or close!
Worcester Dont Be Bleau 1420
Worcester Major Payne 1450
Lingfield Farmer Giles 1540
Lingfield Rescent 1610
I will explain the system if it shows potential after a week, I am playing around with it at the moment and trying to find ways of finding horses with the best potential to place or win races, thus the 4 fold as odds will potential be low.
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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12:46 pm
13 August 2009
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seanstar
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Right I am shying away from my favs picks and I am going to give you value bets, these bets I believe are the best value bets in my opinion.
As the guys in chat normally see I do like picking outsiders..some days they go great guns for me, other days not so grand…but their is on average 70 % of races that favs do not win, so I do like to get value in my small stakes!
All selections 1pt ew
Beverley 1515 Foreign Rhythm 33/1
Beverley 1625 Alphacino 16/1
Salisbury 1355 Expensive Legacy 25/1
Salisbury 1340 Wheres Susie 14/1
Sandown 1710 Ethics Girl 14/1
Only had a good look throught the days racing, evening racing my picks will be on the chat room, race to race!
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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4:49 pm
13 August 2009
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seanstar
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1555 and 1540 those picks should be! So far Wheres Susie coming in a 3rd, annoying thing is a couple of my 2nd choice value bets have come in….
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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9:46 pm
13 August 2009
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seanstar
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Not a bad day today will Value bets.
Wheres Susie coming in third and Ethics Girl winning well at Sandown which at 14/1 when I picked the horse was great value as it finished SP at 15/2.
So..
Based on the prices I got the profit for the whole day was £12.60 based on £1 ew level stake bets.
Check back for tomorrows value bets.
TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS = +£12.60
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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11:23 pm
13 August 2009
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seanstar
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Going to probably choose value bets in evening races tomorrow, not sure will have time to look through tomorrows racing during day!
Good luck to all those who are having a punt!
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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1:21 pm
14 August 2009
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seanstar
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Ive had a quick look at Newcastle and found 2 decent value bets…
1pt Win
Captain Macarry 4/1 1555 Newcastle
1pt EW
Greek Secret 12/1 1655 Newcastle
Also Hartshead 1555 Newcastle 18/1 1pt EW, although now only 7 in race, so if can get top 3 as place on exchanges.
Good Luck
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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12:34 am
15 August 2009
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seanstar
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Hartshead was a neck away from placing the bookies ew bet at 25/1 although if you had the place on the exchanges happy days! The other 2 value bets Captain Macarry missed out in the win coming 2nd ahead of Hartshead, which is a slap in the face i guess! :)
Greek Secret finish SP 16/1 and was 5th.
I will not take the consideration of exchange bets and so 3 losers today. (Though I advised Hartshead to be placed on exchanges ;) )
So £5 down today based on 1pt = £1 stakes.
TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS = +£7.60
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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12:13 pm
15 August 2009
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seanstar
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Quite a number of picks that I have spotted as value in the market currently, as its a good ole unpredictable Saturday and many races to choose from, thus the reason for many picks!
You can follow me on the picks or just use as a guide to your punting today…
So I will split into two catergories all bets are 1pt EW stakes.
OVER 20/1 GROUP:
Hailcarnassus Newbury 1435 25/1 1pt EW
Al Qasi Newbury 1510 33/1
Danzoe Newmarket 1600 25/1
Machin Star Ripon 1410 50/1
Tamagin Ripon 1555 22/1
Shan the Man Bangor 1355 66/1
Between 10/1 and 20/1 GROUP:
Im In the Pink Newbury 1725 16/1 1pt EW
The Happy Hammer Newmarket 1420 14/1
Lenny Bee Newmarket 1450 11/1
Desert Icon Newmarket 1525 16/1
Mister Hughie Newmarket 1600 14/1
Iceman George Newmarket 1700 16/1
Royal Record Ripon 1410 12/1
Valery Borgov Ripon 1555 12/1
Rakalackey Bangor 1645 16/1
Lets all have a good Saturdays punting guys…
Good Luck
Sean
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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12:54 pm
15 August 2009
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andythornton
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today, another fav of mine does run at bangor. its tobago bay in their feature hurdles race. i know, he has a lot of weight on, but hes tough as teak, and i had some success with him last season!! his spin on the flat recently was quite satisfying, so he should be ready for it. 16-1 looks good eachway value…good luck mates
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1:01 pm
15 August 2009
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seanstar
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Hi Andy
Tobago Bay does look decent value at 16's for the 1535 at Bangor, only 9 days ago on the flat so should be fit.
Good luck mate
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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6:25 pm
15 August 2009
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seanstar
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RESULTS
OVER 20/1 GROUP:
Hailcarnassus Newbury 1435 25/1 2nd +£4.00
Al Qasi Newbury 1510 33/1 NR £0.00
Danzoe Newmarket 1600 25/1 NP -£1.00
Machin Star Ripon 1410 50/1 NP -£1.00
Tamagin Ripon 1555 22/1 2nd +£3.40
Shan the Man Bangor 1355 66/1 NP -£1.00
Between 10/1 and 20/1 GROUP:
Im In the Pink Newbury 1725 16/1 1pt EW NP -£1.00
The Happy Hammer Newmarket 1420 14/1 NP -£1.00
Lenny Bee Newmarket 1450 11/1 NR £0.00
Desert Icon Newmarket 1525 16/1 2nd +£2.20
Mister Hughie Newmarket 1600 14/1 1st +£16.80
Iceman George Newmarket 1700 16/1 NP -£1.00
Royal Record Ripon 1410 12/1 2nd +£1.40
Valery Borgov Ripon 1555 12/1 NP -£1.00
Rakalackey Bangor 1645 16/1 NP -£1.00
Pretty decent day, only the one winner but numerous places! Mister Hughie came in well to win and was great value as SP was 8/1. So a grand profit of £19.80 for the day and this with the running total equals a decent profit so far in value bets of £27.40.
TOTAL PROFIT = +£27.40
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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7:47 am
16 August 2009
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seanstar
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Sorry guys got the calculations totally wrong….have only minus £1.00 on each loser :)
So revised profit from yesterday £11.80 made yesterday…still decent enough profit considering how tough the day was.
TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS TO DATE =+£19.40
Sorry about that… Will be giving you value bets for today in a few hours.
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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11:43 am
16 August 2009
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seanstar
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A few value bets to consider today, I have not viewed all races for value as couldnt get early prices…there is a forecast 50/1 shot I like the look of, I will mention this in the chatroom, that is if I can get 50/1, anything lower I wont be considering it.
So here are the value bets for Sunday racing…
BATH 1530 BOLD CROSS 12/1 1PT EW
BATH 1600 VERY WELL RED 9/1 1PT EW (NOTE MAKE AMENDS IS VALUE ALSO 10/1, THOUGH GONE WITH WHAT I FANCY)
BATH 1630 LADY DEAUVILL 16/1 1PT EW
PONTEFRACT 1510 RARE RUBY 5/1 1PT WIN
PONTEFRACT 1510 HALDIBARI 16/1 1PT EW
PONTEFRACT 1610 CANWIN 12/1 1PT EW
SOUTHWELL 1420 PROPHETE DELUGE 15/2 1PT EW
SOUTHWELL 1520 CASTLEMORE 14/1 1PT EW
I will be looking into the races I couldnt obtain prices for later on and post in chat if I fancy any good value horses.
Good luck to all who are having a punt today
Sean
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Try not to become a man of success but a man of value.
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