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1:19 pm 23 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 6:16 pm – 23 May 2010 by BrianH
I've been working on producing some ratings for myself, initially to try and highlight LAY bets, but I also think the ratings can be used to highlight BET horses in the same races. I'll concentrate on one meeting per day and I'll post my findings on here. I have noticed the LAY ratings can sometimes give multiple selections in the same races, which is not so bad either, as if you have four selections you know for sure three will get beat, even if the other does win. I'll use Betfair SP as a base for settling the bets.
Sunday 23rd May…………………meeting is BATH
2.35 No Lay
2.35 Back – Kingsdine………………Won @ 5.63
3.05 Lay – Sunny Future, Lucy's Perfect, Hatch A Plan, Aspirational…………Lost @ 4.3, Win, Win, Win.
3.05 Back – Four Kicks…………….Lost
3.35 Lay – Spinning Waters……..Win
3.35 Back – The Dial House………Lost
4.10 Lay – Wrighty Almighty……Win
4.10 Back – Full Victory……………Lost
4.45 Lay – Ladies Dancing………Win
4.45 Back – Brandy Butter………Lost
5.20 Lay – Misaro………………….Win
5.20 Back – Beat The Bell…………Lost
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7:18 pm 23 May 2010
| BrianH
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Overall, not a bad start with Profit from the LAYS, and a small loss on the BACK selections.
LAYS………..Profit to date 3.35pts
BACK………..Loss to date -0.37pts
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1:40 pm 24 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 5:09 pm – 24 May 2010 by BrianH
Monday 24th May
Today's Meeting……….Carlisle
LAYS (lost = a winning Bet)
2.45 Kings Point……………………lost
3.15 Ponting………………………..lost
3.45 Cygnet Committee………..lost
4.15 Hedgerow……………………lost
4.45 Fyodorovich…………………lost
5.15 Custard Cream Kid………..lost
BACK BETS
2.45 Moody Tunes
3.15 Ace Of Spies
3.45 Wedding Dream………….1st @ 22.22
4.15 Coolella
4.45 Two Turtle Doves
5.15 Desert Hunter
A good day for the LAYS, with them all getting beat. Thats 13 from 14 in the first two days.
Also a good result with The Back Bet, with only one winner at a very nice price.
Lays………Profit to date + 9.35pts
Back………Profit to date +15.85pts
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1:09 pm 25 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 4:24 pm – 25 May 2010 by BrianH
Tuesday 25th May……………..Meeting…………..Ripon
LAYS BACK
2.40 STEEL TRADES AVITUS
3.10 no selection MUSIC OF THE MOOR
3.40 REEL BUDDY STAR OSTEOPATHIC REMEDY
4.10 KENDALEWOOD PATAVIUM…………………………1st @ 7.35
4.40 BLUE ZEALOT QUITE SPARKY
5.10 BESTY MARK ANTHONY
Another good day for the LAYS with all five selections beaten, and a nice profit for the BACK's with Patavium.
Lays……..Profit to date +13.80 pts 18 from 19
Back……..Profit to date + 17.20pts
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1:23 pm 26 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 6:09 pm – 26 May 2010 by BrianH
Wednesday 26th May……………..Meeting……….AYR
LAYS BACK
2.40 Euston Square 2.40 Silver Rime………………..Non Runner
3.15 No selection 3.15 Graceful Descent……….2nd
3.50 No selection 3.50 Alloro
4.25 Five Star Junior 4.25 Ingleby Star
4.55 Amoreuse 4.55 The Bay Bandit
5.25 Just Call Me Dave 5.25 Bed Fellow………………..2nd
3 out of 4 lays successful today, but Five Star Junior hit badly at 13.5 on Betfair, the fourth winner of the day for Keiron Fallon. However, we are still just in profit.
The Back bets were a little unlucky too, with a couple of runners up. No profit today, but overall we're still on the plus side.
Lays………..Profit to date ……… +4.15pts 21 from 23
Back………..Profit to date………. +12.20pts
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2:55 pm 27 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 8:28 pm – 27 May 2010 by BrianH
Thursday 27th May
LAYS BACK
Wolves 3.00 Seradim Wolves 3.00 Mainstay
Wolves 3.30 Paddy Partridge Wolves 3.30 If I Had Him………….won @ 4.97
Ayr 5.20 Fiefdom Ayr 5.20 Mr Lu……………………….won @ 4.83
Sand 6.05 Resurge Sand 6.05 Laudatory
Newc 7.00 Piquante Newc 7.00 Tagseed………………….won @ 3.15
Newc 8.10 Perez Newc 8.10 Sendali
Newc 8.40 Hamoody Newc 8.40 Leonid Glow
Sand 8.50 Arachnaphobia Sand 8.50 Chapter And Verse
Weth 9.05 Option Money Weth 9.05 Ring For Time
Another good day, with all 9 lays beaten, and 3 of the Back bets coming in.
Lays………………..Profit to Date + 12.70 pts 30 from 32
Backs………………Profit to Date + 16.15 pts
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11:20 am 28 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 8:35 pm – 28 May 2010 by BrianH
Friday 28th May
LAYS BACK
3.20 Newcastle SAN DENG LISBON LION
3.40 Brighton BERE DAVI FOUR KICKS
4.05 Newmarket BAUNAGAIN BROTHER CHA
5.05 Newcastle BARASTAR JOZAFEEN
5.40 Newcastle BRAILLE ANOTHER TRY
5.50 Newmarket TEVEZ PRINCE GOLAN
6.20 Stratford UNCLE ELI COCKATOO…………..NR
7.50 Stratford KING HARALD PAIRC NA GCAPALL
8.50 Stratford THE REAL DEAL IRISH LEGEND
Another good day for the LAYS, with all 9 beaten again. Although a couple did go close to spoiling the party.
Not so good with the back bets today, although Prince Golan was 1st past the post at Betfair odds of 16.55, but lost the race in the Steward's Room. And Jozafeen was just caught on the line at 25.35. So a poor day could have been so much better, but we are still showing a profit.
Lays …………………Profit to Date…………….. + 21.25pts 39 from 41
Backs………………..Profit to Date…………….. + 8.15pts
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2:19 pm 29 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 10:07 am – 30 May 2010 by BrianH
SATURDAY 29th MAY
LAYS BACK
Catterick 2.55 Bold Marc Hobson
Beverley 3.10 Desert Falls Indian Skipper
Catterick 3.25 Gala Casino Star Cheviot
Haydock 3.30 Lord Shanakill Mia’s Boy
Catterick 4.35 Frognal Lucky Dan
Haydock 4.45 Keenes Day (NR) My Arch
Beverley 4.50 Tanforan Provost
Beverley 5.25 Divine Spirit Perlachy
Another good day for the LAYS with 7 from 7 going in, however, the BACK bets again failed to hit the mark.
LAYS……………Profit to Date…………. + 27.90pts 46 from 48 (96%)
BACKS…………Profit to Date…………. + 0.15 pts
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12:55 pm 30 May 2010
| TonyGrant
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Hi there, I have just found this thread and it sounds interesting to say the least hehe. One minor point if I might be so bold to ask, I am actually blind and use a screen reader but the way you lay out your selections are a little confusing to me. I understand you put them in columns for lays and backs but of course, if one of those columns is blank for any race, I have no way of knowing whether the selection is a lay or a back. I did actually like the original format where you stated lay or back but maybe is that more work for you? If there is any simple tweak that you could do that might help me read the selections clearer, then I would be most grateful.
Hope you don't mind me asking,
Best regards,
Tony Grant
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1:29 pm 30 May 2010
| BrianH
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Hello Tony,
I've sent you a PM (Private Message) regarding your query, with answers and possible alternatives. Hope that is Ok.
Brian
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2:00 pm 30 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 6:59 pm – 30 May 2010 by BrianH
Sunday 30th May
LAYS
Newmarket 2.20 Ovthenight
Fontwell 3.00 Fongoli
Newmarket 4.05 Himalya
Fontwell 4.10 Man Overboard
Uttoxeter 4.25 Captain Marlow
Uttoxeter 5.05 Alfadora
Newmarket 5.15 Vanilla Loan
Fontwell 5.25 Rien A Perdre
Uttoxeter 5.40 Top Achiever
BACKS Newmarket 2.20 Drawn Gold
Fontwell 3.00 Bolton Hall
Newmarket 4.05 Shifting Star
Fontwell 4.10 Silver Phoenix
Uttoxeter 4.25 Richard The Third
Uttoxeter 5.05 Petroupetrov
Newmarket 5.15 Sabatini
Fontwell 5.25 Forest Rhythm
Uttoxeter 5.40 Frosted Grape
Another cracking day for the Lays with all 9 beaten today. The Back bets again failed miserably, but i'm monitoring them just out of interest, as my ratings are designed basically to find LAY bets, so I may well ditch the Back bets after the end of the month.
LAYS……………….. Profit to Date + 36.45 pts. 55 from 57 (96%)
BACKS……………… Profit to Date (minus 8.85 pts)
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12:41 pm 31 May 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 7:10 pm – 31 May 2010 by BrianH
Monday 31st May
LAYS
Carlisle 2.55 Methaaly
Carlisle 3.30 Oddsmaker
Redcar 4.10 Reve Du Nuit
Goodwood 4.20 Seamus Shindig
Leicester 4.25 Daniel Thomas
Carlisle 4.40 Fern House
Goodwood 4.55 Harare
Redcar 5.20 Ocean Bright
Chepstow 5.25 Dream Express
Goodwood 5.30 Dubai Gem
Carlisle 5.45 Call Of Duty
Chepstow 5.55 Stamford Blue
BACKS
Carlisle 2.55 Mandalay King
Carlisle 3.30 Bollin Dolly
Redcar 4.10 Daaweitza
Goodwood 4.20 Mujood
Leicester 4.25 Smirfy’s Silver
Carlisle 4.40 Miss Daawe
Goodwood 4.55 Batchworth Blaise
Redcar 5.20 Master Nimbus
Chepstow 5.25 Dualagi
Goodwood 5.30 Ghufa
Carlisle 5.45 Finsbury……………………..Won @ 7.00 Betfair
Chepstow 5.55 Loyal Royal
I can't believe how well these LAYS are performing right now. Another full house with all 12 beaten today. Although two did come to close for comfort at 14/1 and 16/1. The BACK bets are not performing at all well, with only one winner today, and I will be dropping them from tomorrow.
LAYS………………. Profit to Date……… + 47.85pts 67 from 69 (97%)
BACKS……………. Loss to Date……… - 13.85 pts (to be discontinued from tomorrow)
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2:03 pm 1 June 2010
| BrianH
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Post edited 8:19 pm – 1 June 2010 by BrianH
Tuesday 1st June
LAYS
3.30 Redcar Via Mia
5.15 Leicester Gwilym
5.30 Redcar Mister Island
7.20 Yarmouth Denton Ryal………………….NR
7.50 Yarmouth A Pocketful Of Rye
8.25 Yarmouth Captain Risk
8.55 Yarmouth Ocean Of Peace
Another good day with all the Lays beaten again.
LAYS …………………….. Profit to Date …………….. +53.55pts 73 from 75 (97%)
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1:37 pm 2 June 2010
| BrianH
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WEDNESDAY 2nd June
All these are at Nottingham
2.10 George Thisby
2.40 Ghost Dancer
3.10 Avongate
4.15 Stadium Of Light
5.55 Tivers Song
This evenings meetings will be posted later today
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3:46 pm 2 June 2010
| BrianH
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| posts 949 | |
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Post edited 10:17 pm – 2 June 2010 by BrianH
Wednesday 2nd June
LAYS
Kempton 6.20 Island Legend
Kempton 6.50 Yahrab
Ripon 7.10 Bertie Smalls
Ripon 8.10 Tabaret
Kempton 8.20 Aurora Sky
Kempton 9.20 Choral Festival
5 Lays beaten this afternoon, followed up with another 6 beaten this evening.
LAYS ……………….. Profit to Date …… +64.0pts 84 from 86 (97.6%)
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