Christmas for me is all about Kempton on Boxing Day and all the other top-class racing around the festive period like the Welsh National at Chepstow. Sure, it's great to spend relaxing time with family and loved ones but once the turkey, pudding and all the trimmings is all done a dusted it's time to get down to business.
Here are a few more stats from the FormBet Database to bear in mind during Kempton’s 2-day Xmas meeting which will help you nail some profits when used with value principals as outlined in our Value Betting 101 article.
You will be able to download the FormBet ratings over the Xmas period to help find these qualifying statistical runners in a heartbeat but to get the full benefit, join up for a month or 6 months to gain access to our unique online ratings and form database.
In terms of strike-rates HARRY FRY and NICKY HENDERSON do particularly well at Kempton. Henderson runners are of particular note in Bumpers where he has an amazing 48% strike-rate with 60% of his runners finishing in the Top-3. All 5 of NICK WILLIAMS’ winners have come in Hurdle races while 5 of CHRIS GORDON’S 6 winners have come in Chase races.
Sire analysis shows that some sires’ progeny perform better than others at Kempton and I have always been a big fan of MIDNIGHT LEGEND’S stock here at the course and they have a decent 73% Yield based on a good sample size.
We can break this down even further by looking at those sires’ offspring in certain race types. KING’S THEATRE is actually a good all-round sire for hurdlers with an amazing 30% Strike-Rate in Kempton hurdle races and you can combine some of these trainer/sire positives. So, for example, if you see a Nick Williams hurdler by King’s Theatre, then take note!
Finally, let’s end on a list of negative trainer stats above. GARY MOORE has just 6 wins from 108 hurdle runners, COLIN TIZZARD and ALAN KING are big negatives with their chasers as are VENETIA WILLIAMS & CHARLIE LONGSDON hurdlers. I'll be hoping King bucks that trend with SMAD PLACE in the big race.
I have put together a brief video of how you can research and build your own systems. Just visit -: http://formbet.co.uk/systems