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Well last night was a real blowout, especially so for Jacob De Grom who flopped badly. Minnesota have a WRC+ of 125 which means they create 25% more runs on average than other teams in the league. Still developing my model, which should be ready in a few weeks but perhaps highlights the need for value and why I am swerving Mets pitcher Noah Syndergaard tonight, who is the 2nd-highest priced option on the slate. Of course, any pitcher can have a bad night, and it may be an over-reaction but I am erring on the side of caution.

TAMBA BAY RAYS -147 have the excellent TYLER GLASNOW pitching for them and they have a 0.76 runs advantage over the White Sox, who really only have the elite batter YOAN MACADA and perhaps TIM ANDERSON in their lineup to worry Glasnow. However, Tampa Bay have been consistently hitting across the board and can land the win here.

Ground-ball pitcher BRANDON WOODRUFF for MILWAUKEE BREWERS -125 can also have a good game against the Angels, with Trout doubtful after leaving the game with a groin strain last night. They have a run advantage of 0.42 with the likes of YELICH, GRANDAL and co. to give them an edge.

JACK FLAHERTY pitches for the ST LOUIS CARDINALS -107 at home to the Dodgers. He has a 28.6% K% rate at home which jumps to over 31% against right-handed pitchers so I'll take him for the win tonight with notable hitters like PAUL GOLDSCHIMDT and PAUL DEJONG likely to rack up runs.

For the final leg I'm going to look to HOUSTON ASTROS -113 against the Yankees with COLLIN McHUGH a marginal favourite here. He, along with Woodruff would be by choices for Starting Pitcher 2 with Glasnow.

The accumulator pays 8.82 with Skybet and again I would throw in 3 trebles.

I expect to have a model ready in the next few weeks and will publish pitcher and batter ratings along with video previews through the season.