I'm off for a conservation project in the Caledonian forest in Scotland for a week, with no wi-fi and mobile signal so there will be no updates for next weekend and I won't even know if any of these have won for a week…but I want to see if I can capture some Guineas cash this Saturday to pay for my week away. First of all I have looked at the trends for the Spring Lodge Stakes Handicap and the 2000 Guineas itself.
The 1000 Guineas for me is a bit of a lottery at times, I still fondly remember the 40/1 tip I gave a few years ago on Blue Bunting for Godolphin so I'm going to side with a pure gut suggestion on Sunday for a Galileo filly that is not AOB-trained.
Saturday 1:50 Newmarket
OASIS CHARM 10/1
Hits all the key trends and I like Godolphin runners at Newmarket.
The 2000 Guineas is also straightforward from a trends perspective and although Elarqaam from the Mark Johnston yard makes a shortlist, it just fails due to the amazing record of Aidan O'Brien his contender has the edge. However, the fact that 11/16 winners were having their first run of the season actually tilts the pendulum towards his ‘perhaps' perceived 2nd string -:
Newmarket 2000 Guineas
SAXON WARRIOR 7/2 – 2pts win
Sunday 1000 Guineas
LIQUID AMBER 16/1 1pt e/w