Finding More Winners Using GeeGeez Gold

Finding More Winners Using GeeGeez Gold

If you are not using GeeGeez Gold for your horse racing analysis, you are seriously missing out. Other packages like Proform will cost you over £1200 a year – yes, a year(!), compared to the equally feature-rich and far more user-friendly GeeGeez Gold at £297 a year, with the first month trial only £1. That will save you close to £1000 a year, enough for a decent betting bank.

You can build systems and customise your own ratings as you please, GeeGeez also included Racing Post RPR and Topspeed figures alongside Peter May's Speed figures. Matt at GeeGeez is constantly adding new functionality and records detailed and informative videos detailing how to get the best out of the software.

Yesterday at York, you could have found 2 well-backed winners with FIRST ELEVEN (available at 11/2 early on) and SPACE BLUES (available at 7/1 the previous evening) simply by looking at the breeding (they both had the best sire stats in their respective races) and the trainer/jockey form recently, at the course and the Trainer/Jockey Combo figures (screenshots below). As well as a few other pointers like First Eleven dropping in class (down arrow) and Charlie Appleby's record with first-time handicappers, evidenced by the HC pointer.

I prefer to compare all the stats of all runners in a race, but for those looking for a quick selection – these highlighted positives are a real time-saver, and money saver – along with the Instant Expert, PACE and DRAW data. You can perform as much, or as little analysis, as you like – depending on how much time you have available to you.

They also have a full formbook, horse tracker, customised reporting, odds comparison and a £100 free tipping league for subscribers.

So, there is no point signing up to inferior, or the more expensive, flashy services. Save yourself some time, money and take out a 1-month trial to GeeGeez Gold today for just £1, it will transform your betting and help to grow your betting bankroll.

 

MLB Pitchers & Batters – Mon 6th May

MLB Pitchers & Batters – Mon 6th May

Choosing between the 5 elite pitchers, JACOB DE GROM, BLAKE SNELL, MAX SCHERZER, GERRIT COLE and COLE HAMELS is no easy task tonight. They are all priced at 10k+ on Draftkings – Cole and Hamels look to be in potentially the best spots tonight. Hamels is in a great spot against a Miami offense that struggled for power and strikes out 23% of the time. Snell is ab elite leftie and has an excellent record pitching at home but has the low average innings pitched from the 5.  Scherzer is in a tricky spot against a Milwaukee team with a lot of power while DeGrom may struggle to get run support. Gerrit Cole is the one I favour against Kansas City and they have a +2.9 Run advantage tonight. CC SABATHIA is of interest of those a little further down the pricing and I'll probably mix and match these 3. For Batters I really like MOOKIE BETTS who can take advantage of John Means in a good spot. MICHAEL CHAVIS, J.D. MARTINEZ and XANDER BOGAERTS appeal to complete a 4-man Boston stack. I also like the Chicago Cubs batters in a good matchup against Sandy Alcantara, in particular JAVIER BAEZ, KRIS BRYANT and ANTHONY RIZZO. Cleveland Lefties are worth noting against Ivan Nova who struggles against them. FRANCISCO LINDOR and JOSE RAMIREZ are interesting. Finally, 3 from St Louis Cardinals, PAUL GOLDSCHMIDT, PAUK DEJONG and MATT CARPENTER are worth going with against Vince Velasquez. So, I'll mix up those 3 pitchers with the above 4 ‘stacks' and then throw in some value players in the other positions using my ratings, which you can receive by signing up on the homepage.
Flat Racing – Where, and When, the Draw Actually Matters

Flat Racing – Where, and When, the Draw Actually Matters

The result of the 2000 Guineas produced quite a few tweets from supposed ‘experts' about their being a track bias, simply because the first 2 home were drawn 17 and 19 in a 19-runner race. It was another great example of recency bias, with people overreacting to a recent event, or not backing the winner, or perhaps both. There was actually no ‘rail' or ‘track' bias in that race. The first two home simply tracked the leader into the final furlong, Shine So Bright, ridden by a jockey who loves to ride prominently in Silvestre De Sousa, as pointed out in this excellent Jockey Pace Profiles article on GeeGeez by Dave Renham.

The winner was also a Group 1 winning colt, well-bred, from a stable who can farm this race, who raced up with the pace. The fact is that the 3rd, 4th and 5th were drawn 3-1-5. Some people poo-pooed the form, simply because the 2nd was low on official ratings, however these ratings are based on a limited number of runs most of the time, horses can improve markedly from 2 to 3 and people are swayed by the below-par performance of horses prominent in the market, notably the favourite Ten Sovereigns who is bred for speed and was a crazy price simply based on that alone. I expect her to drop back in trip.

The ‘bias theory' was blown out of the water by the next day's 1000 Guineas where the first 5 were drawn 4-8-6-7-1 and the Group-winner made virtually all, again those drawn low benefiting this time from being where the pace was throughout. I actually backed Just Wonderful based on stats, breeding and her run can be marked up, after missing the break, being given a lot to do, wandering, running green and being closest at the finish from stall 15. She will be of interest in the Oaks, although that awkward head carriage and wandering would be a concern, headgear may help.

I largely discount the draw and pace from most of my pre-race analysis, apart from getting a sense of how a race ‘may' be run but here is the thing, a bit like stock-market trading, past performance is no guarantee of future success. Front-runners can blow the start, particularly in sprint races, riding instructions and style of jockey can change race to race and we can never tell how even, or uneven, a tracks watering policy is.

There are far more relevant stats like breeding, trainer course and recent form, jockey style and the horse's suitability to conditions, course, going, distance, class that are far more important to examine than the actual draw itself, which is more chaotic and cannot be accurately predicted, apart from by a few ‘experts' or ‘sectional analysts' AFTER the event, which is of no use in the future as every race is a unique event with different horses, course configurations, going, trainer form varies etc etc.

Some of my best returns over the years have come on supposedly ‘badly' drawn horses who have more in their favour and what turns out to be a ‘bad' or ‘good' draw pre-race is actually no such thing if the pace is favoured where your selection is running – that cannot be accurately predicted so it's best avoided in most race analysis.

There are of course a few exceptions…

CHESTER 5f SPRINTS

Perfect timing for this analysis with Chester May festival starting this week.

Low draws in Chester 5f sprints are often considered gold dust, however, the market has caught onto this anomoly and I believe a lot of runners from Stall 1 in sprints at Chester, either don't have a front-running profile to take advantage of this ‘actual' bias, or simply blow the start.

Backing Stall 1 blindly in 5f sprints with 6+ runners at Chester is a road to the poor house as you can see from this chart from the excellent GeeGeez Gold Query Tool -:

Now, if we look at stall 2 at Chester in 5 sprints we can see things are a little different, perhaps able to sit in just behind the pace, or get to the front over Stall1. The overall strike-rate is better and they are profitable, although the last 2 years have seen a reduction in profitability.

Let's take a look at the actual record of Stall 1 and Stall 2 in 5F sprints since 2009, focusing on the GeeGeez pace scores.

We can see that front-runners that produce a pace score of 4.00 at Chester from both stall 1 and stall 2 are highly profitable.

First the pace figures of stall 1 and we can see that those that make all have a 36% strike-rate with a +43pts profit, ROI of 86% and an A/E of 1.62 indicating that they win 62% more often than their odds suggest, with a huge Impact Value of 3.09. All other runners are unprofitable, indicating that a horse NEEDS to make all from stall 1 to be profitable, so you better be sure of this pre-race.

Now, lets look at Stall 2 over 5f at Chester -:

We can see that the strike-rates of those with a pace figure of 2 and 3 exceed those with the same pace figure from Stall 1 in these races. They are also profitable and it's notable that a runner drawn in Stall 2 that makes all, actually has a higher strike-rate of 46%, higher ROI of 102%, A/E of 2.07 and Impact Value of 4.02.

So, it's worth taking a look at just some of these winners from Stall 1 and 2 that produced a pace figure of 4 when winning.

We can see the biggest profits came in 2014 (54% S/R) and 2018 (50% S/R). Lets examine these winners a little closer. Of the 6 winners in 2014, only 2 of them had the highest pace figure in the race pre-race. However, all 6 winners, had the highest pace figure from those drawn in stall 1 or 2.

The results were a bit more mixed last year but 2 of the 4 winners, including the two highest priced, had the highest or joint highest pace figures pre-race.

So, how can we use this at Chester in 5 sprints. Well, there are 2 options as far as I can see it. Now, the following 2 approaches are for those who subsequently made all.

1) BACK the highest pre-race PACE figured runner from Stall 1 and Stall 2 in Chester 5f Sprints

2) BACK the highest PRICED runner from stall 1 or stall 2 in Chester 5f sprints

Here are what the two approaches would have resulted in since 2009 -:

1) 8/19 (43% S/R) with a +24pts profit and 126% Yield

2) 4/19 (21% S/R) with a +13pts profit and 70% Yield

So clearly, a big advantage to backing whichever runner from Stall 1 or 2 records the highest POST-race pace figure. We can probably filter this a bit further by avoiding 2yo races, where there may not be established pace figures, or horses are having their first ever run.

However, we need to be sure that these runners will make all the running, and there is absolutely no guarantee of that. To prove this point, I've looked at ALL the qualifiers that races in 5f sprints at Chester, picked ALL the qualifiers from Stall1 and 2 and compared those with a higher pace figure PRE-race to those with a lower figure pre-race, since 2015.

HIGHEST PRE-RACE PACE FIGURE 15/66 (23% SR), -3.92pts, -6% Yield
LOWEST PRE-RACE PACE FIGURE 20/66 (30% SR), +30.86pts, +47% Yield

So, this is a fairly small sample size BUT we can see that perhaps too much emphasis is placed on the higher pre-race PACE figure in 5 sprints at Chester. Not only is the strike-rate higher but the profit is significantly better.

There is also too much emphasis placed on the lower stalls at Chester, and ignoring a strong pace runner. For example, I looked at the highest PACE runner in the entire race, where there were two tied on the same pace figure, I broke them by draw – the highest paced-lowest drawn runner and the highest paced-highest drawn runner.

HIGHEST PACE – LOWEST DRAW 4/66 (6% S/R) -36.42pts -55% Yield
HIGHEST PACE – HIGHEST DRAW 10/66 (15% S/R) +24.45pts +47% Yield

CHESTER SUMMARY

Stall 1 and 2 do well at Chester in 5f sprints, but we should pay more attention to the lowest PACE runner pre-race of those from stall 1 or 2 and perhaps be wary of short-priced runners in stall 1.

Similarly, we should be contrarian and ignore the draw, considering the highest PACED runner in these races. in the event of more than one qualifier, give preference to the highest-drawn runner, as they will often go off at a value price. Occasionally, these two methods will produce the same selection, but not often.

You could back qualifiers using these two approaches in Chester 5f sprints and show over +50pts profit with a 41% Yield over the last 4 years.

SANDOWN PARK SPRINTS

I thought it would be interesting to look at this approach at a few other tracks that favour low-drawn runners in sprints, starting with Sandown. Stall 1 and 2 in 5f sprints at Sandown both show a 17% win strike-rate, 39% place record and are profitably backed blindly. This outperforms other stalls in these races by quite some way, apart from an anomaly in stall 8 due to a big priced winner or two.

What is interesting with Sandown, when we look at just stall 1 and 2 in sprints, is the performance of those the subsequent PACE scores. Real hold-up runners (pace score of 1) from these two stalls may struggle at Sandown with just a 7% S/R, but those who race in-behind (pace score of 2) beat those who race prominently (pace score of 3) who in turn outperform front-runners (pace score of 4). It makes sense due to the uphill finish at the course, where front-runners may tire quicker than those given cover and produced with a late run from just in behind the pace. However, if you just avoid those real hold up runners from stall 1 and 2, then it's likely you could show a profit.

So let's have a look at these Stall 1/2 runners in more detail in Sandown sprints. Now, to save some time I've only looked at the winners since 2015 but it's interesting. Chester has shown us that for stalls 1 and 2, you may wish to consider the lower-paced runner from the pair, which perhaps goes against a bit of the crowd who think they need to get to the front early.

Similarly with the Stalls 1 and 2 at Sandown, and a lower pace figure recorded, holding sway, you may think it be best to have a lower PACE figure pre-race, when in actual fact it's not the case.

Now bearing in mind, we are looking at the winners only since 2015, it's interesting that when choosing between the two then the lowest pace runner would have a 50% record (12/24) while the highest pace runner would have a 65% record (16/24). The disparagy is because there are instances where they have the exact same pace figure but the lowest pace runner gives us +47pts profit (195%) while the highest gives us +65pts (272%) – bearing in mind these are just winners we are looking at.

 

GOODWOOD SPRINTS

Goodwood is another track where in sprints it pays to be drawn low, this time I'll look at both 5f and 6f sprints. The bottom 2 stalls are profitable but not quite as much as the other 2 tracks, stall 1 has a 14% S/R (14% Yield), stall 2 has a 13% S/R (4% Yield).

So let's focus on the bottom 2 stalls there over 5f and 6f and look at what PACE scores the winners produce.

An interesting conundrum here. While hold-up runners have the highest Yield at 40%, those that have a pace figure of 2 in the race have a poor 4.73% strike-rate and lose a ton. This is where GeeGeez Gold comes into it's own as we can look at the winners that recorded a pace figure of 1 and see that the results are skewed by a 100/1 2yo winner back in 2017, otherwise they would be running at a loss. So, I would say the pace figure of 3 & 4 are the most relevant, indicating a favouring for prominent or front-runners drawn in the stalls 1 or 2 at Goodwood over 5f and 6f sprint trips.

So I looked back at all the winners since 2014 from stalls 1 and 2 to see if a higher or lower pace figure was favoured. Fact is that there was not much in it with lower pre-race pace horses from stall 1 or 2 having a 53% S/R with a +192pts profit and 481% Yield and higher pre-race pace horses having a 63% S/R with a +207pts profit and 518% Yield. Both approaches found the 100/1 winner, simply because both horses in stall 1 and 2 were in a 2yo race and unraced so would both be backed. Even without that big-priced winner we are looking at +93pts or +108pts profit  with 240% Yield or 278%, which is highly respectable. I would just favour the extra 10% strike-rate and 37% Yield of looking at those with the highest pre-race PACE figure.

OVERALL SUMMARY

Ultimately, you should discount the draw at most tracks, apart from the few cases mentioned above, it's far too overplayed and given far more significance pre-race than it should be by supposed experts and pundits to try to sound clever. Similarly, you should also pay less attention to PACE figures pre-race and perhaps look at other factors when analysing a horse race. The crowd is latching onto DRAW and PACE nowadays but they are often reflected in the odds and are overplayed as a significant factor in analysing the likely winner of a horse race. Pay more attention to breeding, horse form and suitability to current race conditions, trainer recent and course form and less-so for jockeys as any jockey can win, or lose a race, on any given day, given the right circumstances.

Making a profit in horse racing involves being contrarian, considering value and other more predictable factors than draw and pace, which are overplayed.

Follow the following at the following 3 tracks -:

CHESTER 5F SPRINTS

1) Back the horse with the LOWEST pre-race PACE figure from stall 1 and 2.
2) Back the HIGHEST PACE figure runner, where ties, select the one from the HIGHEST DRAW.

Sandown 5F SPRINTS

1) Back the horse with the HIGHEST pre-race PACE figure from stall 1 and 2.

Goodwood 5F and 6F SPRINTS

1) Back the horse with the HIGHEST pre-race PACE figure from stall 1 and 2.

You can perform all this research and more using GeeGeez Gold and add in watchlists, ratings and filters using the Query Tool to automatically flag your own system qualifiers. Get a 1-Month trial for £1 below.

MLB Preview Tue 30th April

MLB Preview Tue 30th April

A strange night last night with the top-2 pitchers on the slate underperforming, and being on the losing side, however, it's the exception to the rule usually and over 160+ games in the season, you will get nights like that. Verlander was still the 3rd-highest Fantasy points scorer but it's notable that his opponent Jake Odorizzi was the highest. At least we got the Atlanta forecast right, with Mike Soroka the 2nd-highest points scoring pitcher. It's important to be consistent in any betting approach, especially when using statistics and ratings. Losing punters chop and change and give up after a few days poor performance. However, tonight we have another issue with weather concerns in some of the later games (HOU/MIN, TEX/PIT, TB/KC and CWS/BAL) all have concerns, meaning those team names in RED may have postponements or weather delays, especially so with TB/KC. It's best to avoid them I feel but weather is a really important factor in Baseball and selecting players for DFS especially. It's worth following Kevin Roth on Twitter for updates and even subscribing to a premium weather app like Radarscope Pro. The average punter/DFS player will not be looking in this much detail so sometimes it's good to “geek out” on apps like this to gain an edge. For example, some of the games mentioned above, the weather may clear and provide some top Fantasy options that earlier players have missed. It's also worth just filling up your lineups on DFS then swopping a ‘non-starter' for a player in a ‘weather-impacted' game that turns out to be ok, depends how much of your life you want to spend watching weather updates and messing about with player swops. Personally, I value my free time 🙂 I'll be doing a specific post on DFS in the coming weeks but until then I'll stick with the outright bets on the ‘surefire' weather games, with a few mentions on Fantasy Players to note from those teams.

TEAM & PITCHER RATINGS

BATTER RATINGS

Going to keep it brief tonight, as Tuesday night is Yoga night for me, but I have picked out what I think is a decent 4-Team Accumulator, again bet the 4 trebles as well. These will be provided to FTS Subscribers from Wednesday, along with the ratings, you can jump on board for £100 for the season or £20 for the month before the price increase tomorrow via the homepage, so signup to get MLB bets, PGATour and Horse Racing selections here. All games start after midnight GMT so plenty of time to get bets on tonight. The Accumulator pays 7.93 with Unibet and we get back around +30pts if the 4-teams land thanks to the boost from the trebles. 1 x 2pt Accumulator and 4 x 2pt Trebles. Chicago Cubs are also worth a mention tonight, I expect them to have the measure of Seattle and get some decent fantasy points. Boston also could have been included against Oakland. Players of note from both teams below. COLORADO
CLEVELAND
LA DODGERS
CINCINATTI COLORADO ROCKIES (+102) take on Milwaukee but GERMAN MARQUEZ is a far better pitching option than Chacin and they have a slight power edge batting tonight. CLEVELAND INDIANS (-165) are away to the lowest ranked offense with Miami and have TREVOR BAUER at the plate. LOS ANGELES DODGERS (-150) are also away to San Francisco who surprised them last night but with WALKER BUEHLER pitching I expect normal service to be resumed. CINCINATTI REDS (-115) have LUIS CASTILLO pitching for them, not too much of an offensive edge against the Mets but Jason Vargas is the 2nd-lowest ranked pitcher so expect some CIN runs. Players to Note: Catcher: REALMUTO (PHI 4.7k), CONTRERAS (CHC 4.6K)
1B: BELLINGER (LAD 5.8k), VOTTO (CIN 3.9k)
2B: DESCALSO (CHC 3.8k), SOGARD (TOR 4.1k)
3B: ARENADO (COL 5.2k), BRYANT (CHC 4.4k)
SS: STORY (COL 5.3k), BAEZ (CHC 5.6k)
OF: BETTS (BOS 5k), TROUT (LAA 5.7k), J.D. MARTINEZ (BOS 4.9k), BENETENDI (BOS 4.6k)  
MLB Preview Sun 28th April

MLB Preview Sun 28th April

3 out of 4 right last night, with only Washington failing in the dying stages. I'm a little short on time today so I'll just post the 4-fold accumulator and the pitcher and batter ratings below. The Accumulator pays 7.7/1 with Betfair and against I recommend throwing in 4 trebles to cover and potentially boost winnings when all 4 teams win. MINNESOTA (-190) KYLE GIBSON ST LOUIS CARDINALS (-140) JACK FLAHERTY BOSTON (-148) CHRIS SALE SAN DIEGO (+105) JOEY LUCCHESI

TEAM & PITCHER RATINGS

BATTER RATINGS

   
MLB Preview Sat 27th April

MLB Preview Sat 27th April

A rare wipeout last night but looking to get back on track with 7 games on the early slate and 7 on the later one. MINNESOTA (-286) JOSE BERRIOS The number 1 ranked offence takes on one of the worst offences at home with Jose Berrios averaging 22.24 DK pts, 3 wins from 5 games and facing one of the worst pitchers on the slate with a 28.3% K% rate at home. They have a huge 3 runs advantage and can justify strong favouritism tonight with the likes of NELSON CRUZ (OF) 4.7k, EDDIE ROSARIO (OF) 5.6k and JORGE POLANCO (SS) 5k looking like a strong stack for the Twins on the earlier or all-day slate. HOUSTON (-130) BRAD PEACOCK (pictured) can have the measure of Cleveland tonight after 2 poor outings, playing back at home on the earlier slate.  The pitcher has an excellent 37% strike-out rate against right-handed batters and excels with a 29.3% K% rate at home. The likes of ALEX BREGMAN (3B) 4.7k, JOSH REDDICK (OF) 4.3k and GEORGE SPRINGER (OF) 5.4k can all get runs against Shane Bieber who had a shocking outing last time, allowing 7 runs over less than 3 innings last time. WASHINGTON (-167) With STEPHEN STRASBOURG pitching at home, they can beat the 2nd-lowest ranked offence on the slate in San Diego with Eric Lauer a real pitching mismatch. ANTHONY RENDON (3B) 5.5k is back in the lineup tonight and along with YAN GOMES (C) 3.5k and BRIAN DOZIER (2B) 3.9k can get some runs on the board with a run advantage of 1.08. LOS ANGELES DODGERS (-205) CLAYTON KERSHAW can get back in winning form against the lowest-ranked offence at home to Pittsburgh who have the average Trevor Richards pitching. The superb CODY BELLINGER (1B/OF) 5.8k hit another homer last night and can do so again. Along with JUSTIN TURNER (3B) (3.7k), MAX MUNCY (1B/3B) 4.2k & A.J. POLLOCK (OF) 3.7k, they look a solid stack and can rank up the runs tonight with a run advantage of 1.7 The accumulator pays 5.66/1 with Betfair and again throw in 4 trebles.

TEAM AND PITCHER RATINGS

FANTASY OPTIONS

As well as the above mentioned pitches and batters there are a few of note tonight. Tyler Mahle has a 6.22 ERA against lefties so MATT CARPENTER (3B) 4.1k is of major interest in the leadoff spot for St Louis Cardinals and DEXTER FOWLER (OF) 3.9K is another lefty to note. Jorge Lopez has a 5.64 ERA against lefties so BRIAN GOODWIN (OF) 4.3k and KOLE KALHOUN (OF) 4.2k can take full advantage for the LA Angels tonight NICK CASTELLANOS (OF) 4.2k can mash Reynaldo Lopez who struggles against right-handers RHYS HOSKINS (1B) 5.1k can also take advantage of Trevor Richards poor record against right-handed hitters. HUNTER DOZIER (1B/3B) 4.6 for Kansas City can get some runs agains Jaime Barria, he is one of the few KC bats I like tonight as he is swinging the bat well at the moment. The White Sox can win tonight against Detroit, I would have put them up as an outright bet but there are weather concerns so check this closer to the start time. The average Detroit pitcher Ryan Carpenter who struggles against righties in particular with an 8.27 ERA and the lowest strike-rate on the slate so both JOSE ABREU (1B) 4.6k and YOAN MONCADA (3B) 5.3k can get some runs.
MLB Preview 26th April

MLB Preview 26th April

Great result yesterday with the 9.58/1 Accumulator landing, you would also have boosted your profits by around +21pts with the trebles to 1pt stakes, so all-in-all a good day. Tonight we have a full slate of 15 games – which is heaven, although I have not had as much time to dig into too much detail due to a busy Saturday on horseracing. Despite Bauer getting the win for Cleveland, Gerrit Cole actually got more fantasy points due to his higher number of strikeouts, so I'll be placing a bit more focus on K% rates with pitchers going forward. ATLANTA BRAVES (-162) MAX FRIED is one of the best pitching options on the slate (ranks 3rd) for the joint-2nd best offense, up against the 19th worst offense in Colorado. He has won 3/4 games this season, has a huge 33.8% strike-rate against lefties, so should be able to take care of hitters like Blackmon, Murphy and Tapia and has a 21.7% against righties. The 25-year old has pitched an average of 6.03 innings with an average of 13.62 Draftkings points and has a good ERA of 2.00 at home. Colorado has a fair bit of power but I expect the youngster to get the win backed by a strong offense. HOUSTON (-135) have COLLIN MCHUGH pitching against Cleveland tonight, he strikes out Lefties at a 27.8% K% rate and righties at 34.1% but also a 35.1% at home so he goes in as a pitching option with 3 wins from 5 outings this season. He doesn't have too much to fear from Cleveland bats tonight and despite Korey Cluber pitching, he is not quite as good as he was the last few seasons. Houston offence should give him good backup to secure the win. NEW YORK YANKEES (-110) have JAMES PAXTON pitching and up against a poor San Francisco offence. He has been averaging 23.77 Fantasy Points and has the highest L-K9 figure of 14.67 on the slate and the 2nd best Siera after Scherzer. WASHINGTON (-185) MAX SCHERZER is just behind Fried on the Pitcher ratings, for the 7th best offense, pitching at home, facing up against the 2nd worst offense in San Diego who have one of the highest K% strike-out rates on the slate, with a poor pitcher in Matt Strahm in opposition. They should have no problem getting the win tonight and plenty of runs with a 1.38 Run Advantage. The Accumulator pays 7.48/1 and again I recommend throwing in Trebles to cover stakes if one lets us down. Fantasy Plays Pitchers – MAX FRIED (ATL) 8k & MAX SCHERZER (WAS) 10.4k & COLIN MCHUGH (HOU) 8k
Catchers – YADER MOLINA (STL) 3.9k & MIKE ZUNINO (TB) 4k
1st Base – JUSTIN SMOAK (TOR) 4.7k & LUKE VOIT (NYY) 4.5K
2nd Base – ROBINSON CANO (NYM) 4k, WHIT MERRIFIELD (KC) 4.9k
3rd Base – ANTHONY RENDON (WAS) 5k (if back from injury), HUNTER DOZIER (KC) 4.5k, MATT CARPENTER (STL) 4.1k
Short Stop – JORGE POLANCO (MIN) 5.1k & PAUL DEJONG (STL) 5k
Outfield – MIKE TROUT (LAA) 5.6k, EDDIE ROSARIO (MIN) 5.3k, CODY BELLINGER (LAD) 5.7k & MARCELL OZUNA (STL) 5.1k