The biggest slate of the MLB season so far tonight, sees 14 games, with only the Arizona v Cubs game on earlier in the day. I'm on track to get some baseball ratings from my model ready for the start of May, very exciting.
( HOU -190) is the obvious class pitcher with the Astros a very strong -190 favourites at Texas. Verlander is effective away from home with a 2.3 ERA on the road with a 32% K% rate. He has nothing really to fear from this Texan team, apart from perhaps Shin-Soo Choo, and is as effective against Lefties as he is against right-handed batters. The Astros have a 1.4 Run advantage against Texas and look a solid banker bet.
(COL -120) is pitching at Coors Field, which is generally a hitter-friendly park. However, he is up against a fair few right-handed hitters tonight, and he has a huge 35% K% against right-handed hitters with a 2.85 ERA. He struggles a little more against left-handed batters so Bryce Harper could give him most trouble but not enough to prevent the win I feel, especially as opposing pitcher Vince Velasquez struggles against left-handed batters and with CHARLIE BLACKMON, David Dahl and the returning Ryan McMahon (2 HR's on return last night) – he will really struggle I feel.
Jose Berrios (MIN -175) and Anibal Sanches (WAS -110) are high on my pitcher ratings but I feel face tougher matchups away against Baltimore and Miami respectively.
(STL -140) has an easier time of things at home against the Mets. He does much better against right-handed batters, so only really has Michael Conforto to worry about who is swinging well but his 1.76 ERA against Lefties. Opposing pitcher Jason Vargas is one of the ones to swerve on this slate and you could even stack STL batters against him, with the likes of PAUL DEJONG in particular as well as Ozuna, Carpenter and Goldschmidt. Their 0.7 run advantage is conservative I feel.
(LAD -109) in what looks a tighter matchup on paper, may not quite be as so. Ross Stripling is a solid pitcher, much better against lefties so he may have the measure of Yelich, Shaw and Moustakas here. He can land the win though because his opponent Jhoulys Chacin struggles, especially so against left-handed hitters and he faces the red-hot CODY BELLINGER, Joc Pederson and Max Muncy. They can land the win.
Suggested Bets – Accumulator and 4 Trebles – Pays 7.08 on Betfair -:
ST LOUIS CARDINALS
LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Batters To Watch in DFS
These are players that I believe are facing a good matchup against weaker pitchers and could be used in Daily Fantasy Sports -:
St Louis Cardinals Stack – PAUL DEJONG (SS), MATT CARPENTER (3B), MARCEL OZUNA (OF)
Chicago White Sox – YOAN MONCADO (3B)
Houston Stack – JOSE ALTUVE (2B), ALEX BREGMAN (3B), YULI GURRIEL (1B/3B)
Toronto – JUSTIN SMOAK (1B)
Colorado – CHARLIE BLACKMON (OF), DAVID DAHL (OF)
Los Angeles Dodgers Stack – CODY BELLINGER (OF/1B), JOC PEDERSON (OF), MAX MUNCY (1B/3B)