In my last blog post “Finding potential future Classic Winners using GeeGeez Gold“, I showed how you can easily use the excellent GeeGeez Gold Query Tool to find classy 2yo's. You can also amend that query slightly to find classy 3yo's by changing the age filters to 3 and the distance to 1m to 1m 4f.
Today, I'm turning my attention to finding classy sprinters on turf, it's a perfect time to do so, with many big Sales races and top-class sprint handicaps on the horizon. In order to do so, some research is required and the steps are listed below.
STEP 1 – Fire up the Query Tool in GeeGeez Gold and select “FLAT TURF” as the Race Code and the Date Range for 1st Jan 2017 – 31st Dec 2017.
STEP 2 – Select Race Distances between 5f and 6f and the Age Min set to 2 and Age Max set to 3. You could potentially extend this to 4 years of age which gives additional sires Approve, Compton Place, Red Jazz, Arcano, Choisir, Fastnet Rock, Intikhab, Dream Ahead, Lethal Force, Major Cadeaux & Raven's Pass.
STEP 3 – Click the checkbox next to SIRE and then Click on GENERATE REPORT to see the list of all qualifying sires.
STEP 4 – Filter these SIRES by Minimum of 10 Runs, Min 10% Win% and Min Win PL of +10. These provide a shortlist of profitable 2yo 5f/6f sires list from 2017. Repeat this step for 2018 and 2019 as below.
STEP 5 – Change the dates to 2018 and click Generate Report. This provides a shortlist of profitable 2yo sprint sires list from 2018, listed below.
STEP 6 – Change the dates to 2019 and click Generate Report. This provides a shortlist of profitable 2yo sprint sires list from 2019, listed below. Take a note of all the 2017/18/19 profitable sires on Notepad or somewhere.
STEP 7 – Reset the Query Tool and then run a Query for Profitable Class 1 AND Class 2 Flat Trainers over 5f and 6f from 1/1/2017 to the present date. Then put in place the following filters listed below. Minimum 10 Runs, Min 10% Win% and Min Impact Value (IV) of 1.25. This gives the list of filtered trainers listed below.
STEP 8 – Add this list of trainers to filters for this Angle by clicking on the little + button next to their name. You can also add in manually, some other selective trainers you deem to be ‘Class' trainers but these are the guys who have the decent strike-rates and who outperform with their sprinters in Class contests. Not all will be profitable, but we are looking to combine these trainers with the previous list of profitable sprinter sires.
STEP 9 – Under the SIRE tab, add in the list of SIRE's you gathered from STEPS 4-6.
STEP10 – SET CLASS to 1-3 only and then Generate Report. Click on ADD ANGLE, give it a unique name and click VIEW RUNNERS to see upcoming qualifiers that match the 5f – 6f profitable sire list combined with class trainers. The below are a list of qualifiers for the week ahead.
You can also click on QUALIFIERS and view a list of previous qualifiers and how they have performed as displayed below. I'd suggest perhaps a minimum odds filter of around 4/1 or so. If you had backed the list of sires and trainers in 5f and 6f Class 1-3 contests since 2017, then you would have seen a profit of +105.5pts and a 13% ROI. As you can see below, this would have identified some decent winners at York in August including Mums Tipple, Threat and 20/1 winner Owney Madden. Ideally, this is best used in combination with the FTS ratings. You can pick up a subscription to our ratings and Best Bets service via WhatsApp here.
You can also view the graphical format by selecting sire, trainer or whatever and seeing at a glance, the most profitable sires – in this case HANNON, DASCOMBE, BOTTI and COLE are 4 notable trainers while the sires APPROVE, BATED BREATH and DUBAWI standout.
Hopefully, you can see above the power of GeeGeez Gold Query Tool to create your own systems to track and be able to get an edge on 99.9% of punters who don't use this software, which is a value £1 per month just to try it out. Something else I do is have a list of profitable sires on good to firm or firm and those on soft or heavy – this gives me additional evidence to ensure that the progeny have their optimum conditions and give extra strength behind a selection.
The next few blog posts will feature a review of the 2yo's to keep an eye on for the next few months of the flat season, then there will be a review of sprinters to follow also. Sprint races have a lot more variance than the mile types, as so much depends on a good break from the stalls, where the pace is, the draw and luck and running. I'll bear that in mind when looking for sprinters to follow.
I suggest you take out a subscription to GeeGeez Gold so you can find these qualifiers each day, they are also flagged on the GeeGeez Gold racecard. These systems work best when used in conjuction with the FTS ratings and you can join here and get the ratings and Best Bets via WhatsApp. I'll post qualifiers from these filters for a while on Twitter under the Hashtag #