Not all all-weather surfaces are the same, there is no such thing as an ‘all-weather' surface and it's worth looking at the surface at each racecourse. The number of all-weather meetings will start to increase this month and through the winter so it's an ideal time to start researching some trainer/sire combination systems.
Tapeta was introduced as a racing surface in the UK at Wolverhampton on the 11th August 2014 and Newcastle has been Tapeta since May 2016. We can build a useful Tapeta Sire/Trainer combo system using GeeGeez Gold Query Tool to flag useful future qualifiers easily, just follow the instructions below.
STEP 1 – Select 11/8/2014 as the FROM data in the Date Range, Wolverhampton and Newcastle as the COURSE and FLAT AW as the Race Code.
STEP 2 – SELECT 7F to 1m 2F as the DISTANCE range as we want to focus on those race distances where we can rule out a bad start and reduce the chances of not recovering after trouble in running, especially in sprint races.
STEP 3 – SELECT SIRE and hit GENERATE REPORT
STEP 4 – The above gives you a list of profitable Tapeta sires, after you have set the filters along the top, 10 Min Runs, 5 Min Wins, 10% Min Win%, Min Win PL of 10 and an A/E and I.V of 1. Add these sires by clicking on the + button next to the name of each sire.
STEP 5 – Click on TRAINER and hit GENERATE REPORT and you will get a list of profitable trainers that have a good record with this progeny, who are already proven and profitable on the surface. Click on the + button again to generate the angle and then save it.
STEP 6 – CLICK on QUALIFIERS to view a list of upcoming qualifiers. You can see how many winners this has generated, at decent odds, including a 33/1 shot Constitutional at Newcastle last month and a 50/1 winner a few days beforehand. Combined they have a 35% strike-rate and 109% ROI.
STEP 7 – If you view the racecard you can see the qualifiers for the 6:55 at Newcastle tonight. There is a hot odds-on John Gosden/Kingman runner Tsar but that sire has a far better record on turf so far, despite the excellent 51% record of John Gosden with these sires, he doesn't qualify due to the absence of Kingman as a non-profitable all-weather sire. The 100/1 shot Roddy Ransom may be a stab in the dark for small change at likely massive BetfairSP, but the profitable all-weather sire Lope De Vega is responsible for the Karl Burke runner EMERATY HERO who is interesting at a best-price 8/1.
I'd recommend an each-way on that one as these proverbial good things can get turned over and this one also has a positive trainer/jockey combination for additional strength. When combined Karl Burke and Danny Tudhope have a 36% win record with a PL of +15.5 and an A/E of 2.56.
Win or lose tonight, you can see the benefit of being able to build these angle and research qualifiers on the fly and have them flagged in the Query Tool or on the Racecards themselves.
You can get a 1-month trial for just £1 to GeeGeez Gold here.